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2023","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"dhl-ocean-freight-market-update-may-2023","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2025-04-04 10:21:49","post_modified_gmt":"2025-04-04 02:21:49","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/lot.dhl.com\/?p=35657","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},"custom":{"thumbnail":false,"title":"","excerpt":"","cta":"Read more","linkmail":false,"cta_url":"","email_address":"","outbound_email_subject":""},"select_existing_outbound_links":false}]},{"acf_fc_layout":"wysiwyg","wysiwyg":" 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\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5e93\u5b58\u4e0b\u964d\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u5ea6\u65fa\u5b63\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u548c\u4ef7\u683c\u56de\u5347\u3002\u201c\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u672c\u6b21\u65fa\u5b63\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u672a\u80fd\u5982\u671f\u6fc0\u589e\uff0c\u5219\u627f\u8fd0\u5546\u7ba1\u63a7\u7684\u8fc7\u5269\u8fd0\u529b\u5c06\u9762\u4e34\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u5927\u7684\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u518d\u6b21\u770b\u5230\u8fd0\u4ef7\u6c34\u5e73\u6301\u7eed\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u201d\u4ed6\u8865\u5145\u9053\u3002<\/p>\n"},{"acf_fc_layout":"outbound_box","cards":[{"type":"linked","linked_post":{"ID":35632,"post_author":"1387","post_date":"2023-05-15 15:41:34","post_date_gmt":"2023-05-15 07:41:34","post_content":" The second half of 2023 will likely see a rebound amid a healthy capacity outlook. <\/p> Despite several indicators suggesting that the air cargo market\u2019s early 2023 downturn might not be finished just yet, there are signs of encouragement for those hoping for a rebound later this year.<\/p>\n Expectations, however, should be tempered. The latest data from the Association of Asia Pacific Airlines (AAPA) released in late April 2023 also points to weak global demand. The region\u2019s carriers recorded a 10.9 percent year-on-year decline in international air cargo demand in March as measured in freight tonne kilometers (FTK).<\/p>\n The AAPA reported that offered freight capacity remained relatively stable, supported by the ongoing restoration of bellyhold capacity on passenger flights. As a result, the average international freight load factor declined by 7.5 percentage points to average 63.2 percent for the month.<\/p>\n Subhas Menon, AAPA Director General, said that air cargo markets had retreated by 13.1 percent over the first quarter, \u201creflecting weakness in consumer demand amidst general inflationary pressures and rising economic uncertainty\u201d.<\/p>\n DHL\u2019s April Airfreight State of the Industry<\/a> reports that low export orders from Asia Pacific contribute to air freight volume decline, while high inflation continues to impact global demand.<\/p>\n \u201cThere is no denying that air cargo markets are not as strong as they were,\u201d said Kelvin Leung, CEO, DHL\u00a0Global Forwarding Asia Pacific. \u201cBut we are also seeing a growing e-commerce sector that could inject much-needed demand into the market.\u201d<\/p>\n RELATED ARTICLES<\/strong><\/p> A detailed examination by analysts at WorldACD revealed that worldwide air cargo chargeable weight flown in the first quarter of 2023 dropped -11 percent below that of the equivalent period last year.<\/p>\n The drop-off varied heavily by region. Air cargo volumes originating from Africa and Central and South America increased 1 percent over the period, while a decline of -18 percent from North America and a -16 percent drop from Asia Pacific were recorded.<\/p>\n Jason Miller, interim chairperson of Michigan State University\u2019s Department of Supply Chain Management, said in the latest episode of the Freight Buyers\u2019 Club<\/a>\u00a0podcast that air freight commodities such as electronics and garments had declined the most this year on the Asia to U.S. route.<\/p>\n Shipments of traditional personal computers fell 29 percent year-on-year in the first quarter ago due to weak demand, excess inventory and worsening macroeconomic conditions, said International Data Corp.<\/p>\n What happens next is subjected to much debate. Logistics professionals and freight analysts are unsure whether freight patterns have normalized or will improve<\/a> later this year.<\/p>\n China\u2019s official manufacturing PMI disappointed market forecasts as it moved into contractionary territory with a reading of 49.2 in April. Within the manufacturing PMI, the new orders sub-index proved a major drag as it shifted to 48.8 in April from 53.6 in March. Financial analyst firm Nomura noted that the insufficient demand is a major bottleneck for the current recovery, in line with Beijing\u2019s assessment at the April Politburo meeting.<\/p>\n Key import markets also showed declining metrics. The eurozone manufacturing sector saw operating conditions worsen at the start of the second quarter. HCOB survey data compiled by S&P Global revealed that production volumes fell for the first time since the beginning of the year.<\/p>\n Real U.S. GDP growth decelerated to 1.1 percent quarter-on-quarter from 2.6 percent in Q4, according to Nomura, with equipment investment declines \u201creflecting the ongoing industrial recession\u201d.<\/p>\n Despite the underlying strength of domestic demand in Q1, Nomura maintains its expectation of a recession starting in Q3 this year, given these upcoming headwinds and slowing momentum in the later portion of Q1.<\/p>\n RELATED ARTICLES<\/strong><\/p> There are causes for optimism amid the negativity, however. IATA said February demand, measured in cargo tons flown, was 2.9 percent ahead of 2019.<\/p>\n The latest DHL Hong Kong Air Trade Leading Index<\/a> (DTI) reported \u201ca promising rebound to the level before the pandemic\u2019s fifth wave\u201d across all indices with the Overall Air Trade Index reaching a five-quarter high of 45.6. This follows the Hong Kong government\u2019s lifting of all social distancing measures and inbound travel control arrangements.<\/p>\n Both imports and (re-)exports showed significant recovery even though the concerns over China-U.S. tension returned to a high level, with 51 percent of air traders expecting China-US tension to impact their businesses negatively. The report highlighted that all sub-indices uplifted simultaneously, with Sales Volume Index showing the largest increment of 11 points.<\/p>\n\u8c08\u5224\u5c40\u52bf\u6709\u671b\u7f13\u89e3\u5e76\u7ed3\u675f<\/strong><\/h2>\n
\u8fd0\u4ef7\u3001\u9700\u6c42\u548c\u8fd0\u529b\u4e4b\u95f4\u6447\u6446\u4e0d\u5b9a\u7684\u5e73\u8861<\/strong><\/h2>\n
![](\"https:\/\/lot.dhl.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Quick-commerce-header-1200-x-630.jpg\"\/)
<\/figure><\/a>Downturn by region<\/h2>\n
Diverging thoughts on recovery<\/h2>\n
![](\"https:\/\/lot.dhl.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/carriers-adopt-varying-capacity-strategies-amid-softening-rates-key-image.jpg\"\/)
<\/figure><\/a>Optimism for late 2023<\/h2>\n