\u00d4ng Thomas Tieber, Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh khu v\u1ef1c \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1 c\u1ee7a DHL Global Forwarding cho bi\u1ebft: \u201cH\u1ea7u h\u1ebft ch\u00e2u \u00c1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ebft n\u1ed1i qua \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ed9. D\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ed9 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn ti\u1ebft ki\u1ec7m v\u00e0 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 cho nh\u1eefng kh\u00e1ch h\u00e0ng \u0111ang <\/span>thay \u0111\u1ed5i<\/span> ph\u00e1t <\/span>tri\u1ec3n<\/span> chu\u1ed7i cung \u1ee9ng \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1p \u1ee9ng nhu c\u1ea7u logistics h\u1eadu Covid-19.\u201d<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n \u0110\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh trong s\u00e1ch tr\u1eafng, s\u1ef1 khan hi\u1ebfm c\u00f4ng su\u1ea5t v\u00e0 thi\u1ebft b\u1ecb v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n tr\u00ean to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u v\u00e0 chi ph\u00ed v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i h\u00e0ng kh\u00f4ng qu\u00e1 cao \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ed9 an to\u00e0n tr\u1edf n\u00ean h\u1ea5p d\u1eabn h\u01a1n, gi\u00fap b\u00ean g\u1eedi h\u00e0ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 theo d\u00f5i h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ebfn cu\u1ed1i.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n \u00d4ng Tieber chia s\u1ebb: \u201cC\u00e1c ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 c\u0169ng \u0111ang th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p \u0111\u1ec3 c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi, \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh c\u00e1c quy \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0 t\u00e0i li\u1ec7u h\u1ea3i quan. Sau khi g\u1ee1 b\u1ecf \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eefng n\u00fat th\u1eaft n\u00e0y, c\u00e1c gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ed9 v\u00e0 \u0111a ph\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u1ee9c ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng di chuy\u1ec3n t\u1ef1 do c\u1ee7a xe t\u1ea3i qua bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh ph\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u1ee9c v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u01b0u ti\u00ean h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i qua \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng h\u00e0ng kh\u00f4ng ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ec3n.\u201d<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n C\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean trong C\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ed3ng Kinh t\u1ebf ASEAN (AEC) t\u1eeb l\u00e2u \u0111\u00e3 k\u00eau g\u1ecdi c\u00e1c vi\u00ean ch\u1ee9c h\u1ea3i quan t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ed9i nh\u1eadp v\u00e0 k\u1ebft n\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u00fap c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng tr\u00ean to\u00e0n khu v\u1ef1c. Nh\u1eefng n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c n\u00e0y \u0111ang m\u1edf ra c\u00e1c tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i m\u1edbi, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i cho c\u00e1c gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ed9 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n \u00d4ng Thomas Tieber, Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh khu v\u1ef1c \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1 c\u1ee7a DHL Global Forwarding cho bi\u1ebft: \u201cH\u1ea7u h\u1ebft ch\u00e2u \u00c1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ebft n\u1ed1i qua \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ed9. D\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ed9 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn ti\u1ebft ki\u1ec7m v\u00e0 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 cho nh\u1eefng kh\u00e1ch h\u00e0ng \u0111ang <\/span>thay \u0111\u1ed5i<\/span> ph\u00e1t <\/span>tri\u1ec3n<\/span> chu\u1ed7i cung \u1ee9ng \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1p \u1ee9ng nhu c\u1ea7u logistics h\u1eadu Covid-19.\u201d<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n \u0110\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh trong s\u00e1ch tr\u1eafng, s\u1ef1 khan hi\u1ebfm c\u00f4ng su\u1ea5t v\u00e0 thi\u1ebft b\u1ecb v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n tr\u00ean to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u v\u00e0 chi ph\u00ed v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i h\u00e0ng kh\u00f4ng qu\u00e1 cao \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ed9 an to\u00e0n tr\u1edf n\u00ean h\u1ea5p d\u1eabn h\u01a1n, gi\u00fap b\u00ean g\u1eedi h\u00e0ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 theo d\u00f5i h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ebfn cu\u1ed1i.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n \u202f<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n \u00d4ng Tieber chia s\u1ebb: \u201cC\u00e1c ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 c\u0169ng \u0111ang th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p \u0111\u1ec3 c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi, \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh c\u00e1c quy \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0 t\u00e0i li\u1ec7u h\u1ea3i quan. Sau khi g\u1ee1 b\u1ecf \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eefng n\u00fat th\u1eaft n\u00e0y, c\u00e1c gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ed9 v\u00e0 \u0111a ph\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u1ee9c ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng di chuy\u1ec3n t\u1ef1 do c\u1ee7a xe t\u1ea3i qua bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh ph\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u1ee9c v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u01b0u ti\u00ean h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i qua \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng h\u00e0ng kh\u00f4ng ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ec3n.\u201d<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n"},{"acf_fc_layout":"outbound_box","cards":[{"type":"custom","linked_post":{"ID":9647,"post_author":"159","post_date":"2021-01-07 10:00:10","post_date_gmt":"2021-01-07 02:00:10","post_content":" Not all members of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership will get an equal share of the pie. <\/p> The world watched on as Chinese Minister of Commerce Zhong Shan put pen to paper on the world\u2019s largest trade agreement alongside trade ministers from 14 other countries.<\/p>\n All 15 members of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) were gathered virtually last November to sign the landmark agreement, concluding eight years and 31 rounds of negotiation.<\/p>\n Comprising the Association of Southeast Asian Nations\u00a0(ASEAN),\u00a0Australia, China, Japan, New Zealand,\u00a0and South Korea, the RCEP represents about a third of the global GDP and population.<\/p>\n More importantly, it symbolizes integration after years of trade wars and protectionism. The trade deal comes amid a raging pandemic when there are signs of countries seeking more effective international cooperation to aid economic recovery.<\/p>\n New trade agreements, including the RCEP, signal continued government support for market integration in much of the world, according to the DHL Global Connectedness Index 2020<\/a> \u2014 a study measuring the development of trade, capital, information, and people flows at the global, regional, and national levels.<\/p>\n The pact is not considered a breakthrough in terms of immediate economic gains. That is because many of the members already have trade agreements with each other. So, tariffs are already low, if not removed, on many exports.<\/p>\n However, the RCEP will improve participating countries\u2019 market access to goods and services and facilitate trade and investment across the region. Particularly worth noting is how the deal will align rules of origin and bring members together into a single production chain.<\/p>\n \u201cAsia Pacific is already a hotbed of a complex maze of free trade agreements. Many of these FTAs have differing rules which are complicated and disincentivize their use. RCEP simplifies this into a single set of rules of origin, standardizing the requirements across the board and leveling the playing field for all,\u201d explained Raymond Yee, Vice President, Customs and Regulatory Affairs, DHL Express Asia Pacific.<\/p>\n \u201cThe direct benefits, particularly in the form of lower tariffs, are not always available or so obvious,\u201d said Deborah Elms, founder and Executive Director of the Asian Trade Center, a Singapore-based think tank.\u00a0\u201cBut having one rule of origin in place will make a substantial difference.\u201d<\/p>\n Then there is the long-term economic opportunity. According to an analysis by the Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE)<\/a>, the pact could add US$500 billion (\u20ac414 billion) a year to world trade when it moves into full swing in 2030. And it would boost annual trade among members by US$428 billion (\u20ac357 billion).<\/p>\n But not everyone will get a piece of this pie. Here is a rundown of the deal\u2019s biggest winners and losers.<\/p>\n The country is no doubt the biggest winner of the pact. The PIIE study estimates that as the largest of all members, China will get an US$85 billion (\u20ac71 billion) annual boost to its GDP from increased trade by 2030.<\/p>\n But China\u2019s win is far more than just economics, especially considering that the deal will give it only 0.3 percent extra real income a year. Many observers see RCEP as a China-led bloc, despite ASEAN\u2019s pivotal role in bringing the grouping together.<\/p>\n From that perspective, the RCEP deal is a geopolitical victory for China and a sign of waning American influence in Asia Pacific following its non-participation in the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP).<\/p>\n \u201cEven more important than economic gains, however, may be the effects of East Asia\u2019s regional turn on China\u2019s prospects for leadership in the region,\u201d wrote the PIIE study\u2019s authors Peter Petri and Michael Plummer.<\/p>\n Analysts from Citi Research<\/a> went as far as calling RCEP \u201ca coup for China,\u201d saying that the \u201cdiplomatic messaging of RCEP may be just as important as the economics.\u201d<\/p>\n Rank<\/strong>: 70 (-1)<\/p>\n Depth\u00a0<\/strong>(International flows relative to total activity)<\/em>: 150 (-2)<\/p>\n Breadth\u00a0<\/strong>(Distribution of international flows across countries)<\/em>: 18 (-1)<\/p>\n China remains a strongly domestic-oriented economy. Its international flows are comparatively smaller than its structural characteristics (population, GDP per capita, and geography) suggest they could be. Since deeper global connectedness is associated with faster economic growth, China has untapped potential to benefit from strengthening its connections with the rest of the world.<\/p>\n RCEP will deliver Japan\u2019s first ever free trade agreement (FTA) with China and South Korea, two of its largest trading partners. And that alone makes Japan a clear winner.<\/p>\n \u201cThese three tigers of East Asia contribute significantly to overall trade within Asia Pacific, not to mention these countries being critical parts of regional and global value chains,\u201d said Yee. The three countries have had talks on a proposed trilateral agreement, but negotiations had stalled in recent years.<\/p>\n With RCEP, Japan will likely see tariffs eliminated<\/a> on 86 percent of its industrial exports to China and 92 percent of exports to South Korea. Overall, the deal is predicted to bring Japan US$48 billion (\u20ac40 billion) in annual income<\/a> by 2030, particularly benefiting its automotive and auto parts industries.<\/p>\n Rank<\/strong>: 44 (+3)<\/p>\n Depth<\/strong> (International flows relative to total activity)<\/em>: 126 (-4)<\/p>\n Breadth<\/strong> (Distribution of international flows across countries)<\/em>: 6 (-2)<\/p>\n Japan ranks in the top 10 underperformers for the depth category. Japan\u2019s depth is higher with respect to outward relative to inward flows. This pattern also shows up in Japan\u2019s trade surplus as well as its foreign direct investment.<\/p>\n Overall, Japan invests much more abroad than it is receives in direct investment from abroad. In fact, Japan ranks 168th of 169 for inward FDI stock, while placing 13th of 158 in FDI outflows.<\/p>\n The East Asian country\u2019s win mainly comes in the form of a forecast US$23 billion (\u20ac19.2 billion) extra income<\/a> by 2030. But it might get more through improved relations, particularly with Japan.<\/p>\n The two countries have had political conflicts that have spilled over into their trade relations<\/a>. Their recent row led Japan to tighten its rules for exporting three important chemicals to South Korea.<\/p>\n![](\"https:\/\/lot.dhl.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/RCEP-infographic.jpg\"\/)
<\/figure>Winners<\/span><\/h2>\n
China<\/strong><\/h3>\n
![\"China\u2019s](\"https:\/\/lot.dhl.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/20201116145829874.jpg\")
DHL Global Connectedness Index 2020 Ranking: China<\/strong><\/h2>
Japan<\/h3>\n
DHL Global Connectedness Index 2020 Ranking: Japan<\/strong><\/h2>
South Korea<\/h3>\n